KalshiResolved

Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3

Above $380%
No20%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$93.8
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesSep 22, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21, 04:10 PMSep 22, 03:40 AMSep 22, 03:11 PMSep 23, 02:42 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3 USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.145 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.145Kalshi99% Above $3.145Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.130 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.130Kalshi98% Above $3.130Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.135 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.135Kalshi96% Above $3.135Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.140 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.140Kalshi96% Above $3.140Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.110 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.110Kalshi97% Above $3.110Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.040 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.040Kalshi99% Above $3.040Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.125 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.125Kalshi98% Above $3.125Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.120 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.120Kalshi96% Above $3.120Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.115 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.115Kalshi96% Above $3.115Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.950 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.950Kalshi96% Above $2.950Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.090 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.090Kalshi99% Above $3.090Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.010 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.010Kalshi99% Above $3.010Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.100 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.100Kalshi95% Above $3.100Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.990 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.990Kalshi96% Above $2.990Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.960 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.960Kalshi96% Above $2.960Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.060 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.060Kalshi94% Above $3.060Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.025 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.025Kalshi96% Above $3.025Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.050 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.050Kalshi97% Above $3.050Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.995 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.995Kalshi99% Above $2.995Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.045 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.045Kalshi99% Above $3.045Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.940 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.940Kalshi95% Above $2.940Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.020 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.020Kalshi89% Above $3.020Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.070 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.070Kalshi91% Above $3.070Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.945 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $2.945Kalshi99% Above $2.945Open
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.030 USD/MMBtu on September 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3.030Kalshi95% Above $3.030Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 08:02 PM UTC