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Polymarket official token FDV above $4B one day after launch?

No59%
Yes41%

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Why: This is a market about the FDV of Polymarket’s official token, even if it has no utility initially and is not explicitly branded as a “governance” token, as long as it is promoted and presented as the official token for the Polymarket product. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Polymarket's official token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Claim-only tokens do not qualify. Utility tokens that serve a purpose within the product without being the brand's official token will not count toward resolution of this market. Those include: ERC-1155 or ERC-20 tokens used to represent CTF shares or other user positions in markets inside the product or any USD-pegged collateral token. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Polymarket (https://x.com/Polymarket) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official communications from Polymarket (including blog posts, social channels, or documentation). A consensus of credible third-party reporting may be used if necessary.

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As of Sep 30, 06:09 AM UTC