Predict.funResolvedPart of a cross-venue question →

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?

Yes100%

No0%

Price checked at Sep 28, 10:55 AM UTC

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Resolution rules

If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket specifies a resolution timestamp, while PredictFun does not; this does not change the event or deadline being asked.

PolymarketOpen →
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
121 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 06:14 AM UTC
PredictFunthis market
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
read Sep 28, 09:02 AM UTC

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As of Sep 30, 02:08 AM UTC