Will Toy Story 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

No99%
Yes1%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** Determined once Google publishes its 2026 Year in Search Global "Movies" list. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the movie ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026, provided they are listed as an outcome. - Resolves to "No" for all other movies. ### **Resolution Details:** - The specified list is expected to appear on the Google Trends Year in Search hub ([trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/](http://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/)), with location set to Global, navigating Global → Entertainment → Movies. This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of the exact navigation procedure used to reach it. - A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. - This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all listed options. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Google discontinues its Year in Search program or the Movies category before the 2026 list is released. - The official result cannot be reliably verified through Google's published list. In the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.

Sourcehttps://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both use Google's official 2026 Global Movies list as the source and may resolve when it is released. If no list appears by the stated cutoff, Myriad resolves No while Polymarket specifies Other, a non-material fallback difference for the underlying question.
  • Myriadthis market

    Will Toy Story 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** Determined once Google publishes its 2026 Year in Search Global "Movies" list. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the movie ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026, provided they are listed as an outcome. - Resolves to "No" for all other movies. ### **Resolution Details:** - The specified list is expected to appear on the Google Trends Year in Search hub ([trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/](http://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/)), with location set to Global, navigating Global → Entertainment → Movies. This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of the exact navigation procedure used to reach it. - A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. - This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all listed options. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Google discontinues its Year in Search program or the Movies category before the 2026 list is released. - The official result cannot be reliably verified through Google's published list. In the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.

    read Sep 29, 10:17 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Toy Story 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

    This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

    17 holders · 2 comments · read Sep 29, 06:24 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 10:59 PM UTC