Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?

No97%
Yes3%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon publication of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index datapoint for September 30, 2026. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market resolves according to Elon Musk's net worth as reported for September 30, 2026, according to the outcome ranges listed below. - If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher range bracket. ### **Resolution Details:** - The resolution source for this market is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk profile, specifically the datapoint for September 30, 2026, once finalized. - If this resolution source is unavailable, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide sufficient information to determine the outcome. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their shares at cancellation.

Sourcehttps://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Myriad specifies a 11:59 PM ET market close and resolution upon publication of the finalized datapoint; Polymarket specifies a 23:59 UTC resolution time. Both allow another credible source if Bloomberg is unavailable, and their published cancellation criteria otherwise differ only in detail.
  • Myriadthis market

    Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon publication of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index datapoint for September 30, 2026. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market resolves according to Elon Musk's net worth as reported for September 30, 2026, according to the outcome ranges listed below. - If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher range bracket. ### **Resolution Details:** - The resolution source for this market is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk profile, specifically the datapoint for September 30, 2026, once finalized. - If this resolution source is unavailable, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide sufficient information to determine the outcome. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their shares at cancellation.

    read Sep 29, 08:04 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?

    This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC