Bitcoin ATH before September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
### **Market Details:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** As soon as a new Bitcoin all-time high is recorded, or following the end of the Market Period. - **Market Target:** $126,199.63 (BTC’s All Time High as per Binance) ### **Market Outcomes:** - This event contains multiple independent outcomes corresponding to the specified dates listed in the market. - Each outcome resolves independently as either **“Yes”** or **“No”**. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to **“Yes”** if Bitcoin spot price is above the Market Target on or before the specified date associated with that outcome. - Resolves to **“No”** if Bitcoin spot price stays equal to or below the Market Target until the specified date associated with that outcome. ### **Resolution Details:** - Only the Binance BTC/USDT spot price chart will be considered, specifically: - **Candles** - **One minute candles (“1m”)** - **“Trading View”** - **“High” price** - For clarity, an outcome referring to a month is interpreted as up until the final moment before that month begins. For example: - **“Before July 2026”** means on or before **June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET**. - Each outcome will be evaluated independently based on whether a new all-time high has been recorded by the specified deadline. - Prices from other exchanges, indices, or data providers will not be considered. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable. - The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period. - Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot
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As of Sep 29, 11:43 PM UTC