Will Base TGE in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
## **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From market publication until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** By Market Close or earlier if the outcome is determined. ## **Yes/No Criteria:** - Resolves to **“Yes”** if Base officially launches a token on or before the Market Close. - The token must be **publicly announced** by Base and **transferable on a blockchain** within the Market Period. - If the token launch or announcement occurs **outside of the Market Period**, the market will resolve to **“No.”** - Resolves to **“No”** if no eligible token launch is announced or occurs by the Market Close. ## **Resolution Details:** - The outcome will be determined based on **public announcements from Base**, including but not limited to: - Base’s verified X (formerly Twitter) account - Base’s official website or app - Other official company communication channels - Unverified reports, leaks, or third-party speculation will not be considered for resolution. - The token launched must be branded as Base’s official token or similar to resolve “**Yes.**” - Stablecoins do not count towards resolution. ## **Cancellation Conditions:** - The platform ceases operations before the resolution date. - The resolution source becomes unavailable or compromised. - Any other circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome undisputably. If the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.
Sourcehttps://www.base.org/
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:39 PM UTC