Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No84%
Yes16%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 29Oct 8Oct 16Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in resolution details: Polymarket specifies settlement at 2028-08-25 and the Republican Party as source, while PredictFun uses a consensus of official Republican Party sources and does not publish a settlement date. Both state that a later nominee replacement does not affect resolution.
  • 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee: Marco Rubio

    This market will settle to Yes if Marco Rubio wins and accepts the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2028 United States Presidential Election. Outcome sourced from the Republican Party. Any replacement of the Republican Party nominee before election day will not affect the settlement of this market.

    read Oct 25, 04:06 AM UTC

  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    read Oct 22, 08:28 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 06:46 AM UTC