Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No97%
Yes3%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The listed settlement timestamps differ, and PredictFun provides no settlement timestamp, but these are timing/metadata differences rather than different questions. The published resolution criteria otherwise appear materially identical.
  • LimitlessOpen →

    Ballon d'Or Winner 2026: Rodri

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football ( https://www.francefootball.fr/ )

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    874 holders · 1K comments · read Sep 26, 01:00 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Rodri

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 29, 09:11 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

    read Sep 29, 06:34 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC