Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No100%
Yes0%

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are substantively identical; Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp of October 4, 2026, while PredictFun does not specify one, which does not change the question.
  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    read Sep 29, 10:07 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

    511 holders · 20.2K comments · read Sep 26, 06:35 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 11:44 PM UTC