KalshiResolved

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 79,000 MW?

Above 79,000 MW99%

No1%

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24h volume$93.5

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesSep 29, 202621 hours ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 is above 79,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 86,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$29.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 84,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 84,000 MW	$7.1K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 87,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$4.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 85,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 85,000 MW	$3.1K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 82,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 82,000 MW	$1.6K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 88,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 83,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 83,000 MW	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 81,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 81,000 MW	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 84,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 84,500 MW	$304.5	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 80,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 80,000 MW	$166.5	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 78,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 78,000 MW	$93.5	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 83,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 83,500 MW	$93.5	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 82,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 82,500 MW	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 01:44 AM UTC