Alvi Dasuyev wins

Alvi Dasuyev99%
No1%

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24h volume$486.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesSep 23, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21, 01:00 AMSep 21, 08:09 PMSep 22, 03:18 PMSep 23, 10:27 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Alvi Dasuyev wins the Ortega vs Dasuyev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ortega vs Dasuyev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official UFC information and specifies a 50-50 outcome for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond October 6; Kalshi has different postponement, cancellation, and tie/no-contest rules and no listed resolution source. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Alvi Dasuyev wins

    If Alvi Dasuyev wins the Ortega vs Dasuyev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Ortega vs Dasuyev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Sep 22, 10:53 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Dana White's Contender Series: Jaden Ortega vs. Alvi Dasuyev (Welterweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jaden Ortega winsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:49 PM UTC