Paris Moran wins

No99%
Paris Moran1%

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24h volume$389K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesSep 23, 20268 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21, 02:00 AMSep 21, 08:49 PMSep 22, 03:38 PMSep 23, 10:27 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Paris Moran wins the Degli vs Moran professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Degli vs Moran professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official UFC information and resolves 50-50 for a draw, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond October 6; Kalshi specifies a 50/50 tie/no-contest result and fair-price treatment for cancellation or a delay beyond two weeks. The resolution timing and source criteria therefore differ, without materially changing the event proposition.
  • Kalshithis market

    Paris Moran wins

    If Paris Moran wins the Degli vs Moran professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Degli vs Moran professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Sep 22, 10:58 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Dana White's Contender Series: Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Paris Moran" if Paris Moran is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Marcos Degli winsKalshi99% Marcos DegliOpen

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As of Sep 30, 10:44 PM UTC