PolymarketResolved

Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Match O/U 22.5

Under100%
Over0%

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ResolvesSep 28, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 20, 09:14 PMSep 21, 08:00 PMSep 22, 06:47 PMSep 23, 05:33 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Wright and Erik Gahnstrom in the M25 Falun, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Falun: Michael Wright vs Erik GahnstromPolymarket100% Erik GahnstromOpen
M25 Falun, Qualifying: Completed Match: Michael Wright vs Erik GahnstromPolymarket100% YesOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Michael Wright (-1.5) vs Erik Gahnstrom (+1.5)Polymarket100% Erik GahnstromOpen
Michael Wright vs. Erik Gahnstrom: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Michael Wright vs Erik GahnstromPolymarket100% Erik GahnstromOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Erik Gahnstrom (-1.5) vs Michael Wright (+1.5)Polymarket100% Erik GahnstromOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Michael Wright vs Erik GahnstromPolymarket100% Erik GahnstromOpen
Wright vs. Gahnstrom: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 09:03 PM UTC