PolymarketResolved

Nie vs. Jiang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under100%
Over0%

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Liquidity$0
Spread3%
ResolvesSep 28, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 20, 03:32 PMSep 20, 09:34 PMSep 21, 03:37 AMSep 21, 09:39 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaochuan Nie and Zijun Jiang in the W15 Maanshan, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Nie vs. Jiang: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Xiaochuan Nie (-1.5) vs Zijun Jiang (+1.5)Polymarket100% Zijun JiangOpen
Set 2 Winner: Xiaochuan Nie vs Zijun JiangPolymarket100% Zijun JiangOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Xiaochuan Nie vs Zijun JiangPolymarket100% Zijun JiangOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Xiaochuan Nie vs. Zijun Jiang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Zijun Jiang (-1.5) vs Xiaochuan Nie (+1.5)Polymarket100% Zijun JiangOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Nie vs. Jiang: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
W15 Maanshan, Qualifying: Completed Match: Xiaochuan Nie vs Zijun JiangPolymarket100% YesOpen
W15 Maanshan: Xiaochuan Nie vs Zijun JiangPolymarket100% Zijun JiangOpen

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As of Sep 30, 11:49 PM UTC