United States vs. Mexico: Second half draw?

Yes50%
No50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$13.2
Spread96%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Mexico in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Mexico score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket lists an expected settlement time, while PredictFun does not; this does not change the underlying question. The published resolution sources and criteria otherwise differ in no material way.
  • Polymarketthis market

    United States vs. Mexico: Second half draw?

    In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Mexico in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Mexico score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • PredictFunOpen →

    United States vs. Mexico: Second half draw?

    In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between United States and Mexico, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States score more goals than Mexico in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if United States and Mexico score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico score more goals than United States in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

    read Oct 2, 02:26 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mexico to win the second half?Polymarket51% NoOpen
United States to win the second half?Polymarket51% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 12:26 PM UTC