Will Canada vs. Peru end in a draw?

Yes51%
No49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$150.3
Spread78%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Sourcehttps://www.fifa.com

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official event statistics with fallback sources and resolves a fully canceled match to Yes, while Kalshi specifies a fair-price resolution for cancellation or a reschedule beyond 48 hours. Their listed settlement times also differ, but these do not change the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Canada vs Peru: Tie is the result

    If Tie is the result of the Canada vs Peru professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Canada vs Peru professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 30, 02:17 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Canada vs. Peru end in a draw?

    In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Canada win on 2026-10-03?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will Peru win on 2026-10-03?Polymarket57% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 04:06 PM UTC