PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Matthew William Donald100%
Gianluca Cadenasso0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesSep 28, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 20Sep 21Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Matthew William Donald” if Matthew William Donald wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gianluca Cadenasso” if Gianluca Cadenasso wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Genoa 2: Completed Match: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca CadenassoPolymarket100% YesOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Matthew William Donald vs. Gianluca Cadenasso: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Donald vs. Cadenasso: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca CadenassoPolymarket100% Gianluca CadenassoOpen
Game Spread: Gianluca Cadenasso (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket100% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca CadenassoPolymarket100% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Set Handicap: Gianluca Cadenasso (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket100% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Set Handicap: Matthew William Donald (-1.5) vs Gianluca Cadenasso (+1.5)Polymarket100% Gianluca CadenassoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 07:12 AM UTC