PolymarketOpen

Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes62%

No39%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:13 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$2.5K

Spread12%

ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Marvin Vettori and Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	77% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismail Naurdiev win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	71% Over	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	65% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	61% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismail Naurdiev win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismail Naurdiev win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marvin Vettori win in Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	67% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marvin Vettori win in Round 3?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marvin Vettori win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	73% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	72% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	61% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ismail Naurdiev win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marvin Vettori win in Round 1?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Polymarket	56% Ismail Naurdiev	$1.1K	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 04:16 PM UTC