PolymarketOpen

Will the fight end before Round 3?

No61%
Yes40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.4K
Spread31%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Rafael Dos Anjos and Alexander Hernandez at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Rafael Dos Anjos win in Round 2?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket58% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will Alexander Hernandez win in Round 2?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Rafael Dos Anjos win by KO or TKO?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Alexander Hernandez win by KO or TKO?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Alexander Hernandez win in Round 1?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket74% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket71% OverOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket51% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket62% OverOpen
Will Rafael Dos Anjos win in Round 3?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Alexander Hernandez win in Round 3?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Rafael Dos Anjos win in Round 1?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket50% NoOpen
UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)Polymarket72% Alexander HernandezOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket57% OverOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 06:08 AM UTC