PolymarketOpen

Will Natalia Silva win in Round 1?

No74%
Yes27%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.7K
Spread47%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalia Silva defeats Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Natalia Silva win in Round 3?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Wang Cong win in Round 2?Polymarket74% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket81% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Natalia Silva win in Round 2?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Will Natalia Silva win in Round 5?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Wang Cong win in Round 5?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Wang Cong win in Round 3?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 4?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will Wang Cong win by KO or TKO?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket68% YesOpen
Will Natalia Silva win by KO or TKO?Polymarket74% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket81% OverOpen
Will Natalia Silva win in Round 4?Polymarket74% NoOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket78% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket74% NoOpen
O/U 3.5 RoundsPolymarket78% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket67% YesOpen
Will Wang Cong win in Round 4?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 5?Polymarket70% NoOpen
Will Wang Cong win in Round 1?Polymarket74% NoOpen
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Polymarket66% Natalia SilvaOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:42 PM UTC