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Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?

At least 50%78%
No22%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread10%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Jolly in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi57% At least 52%Open
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent: Will David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hillsborough County, Florida?Kalshi88% At least 48%Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC