KalshiOpen

Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 88% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?

No71%
At least 88%29%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread9%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania is 88% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 96% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 90% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 92% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 94% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi96% At least 82%Open
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi97% At least 80%Open
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi67% At least 86%Open
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent: Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Kalshi89% At least 84%Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC