KalshiOpen

EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 689.98556 by Dec 31? 10% or more above base

No60%
10% or more above base40%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread10%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the European Commission reports a weekly Adult male indicative price (ACZ URO) for beef carcasses in the European Union at least 689.98556 EUR per 100 kg for any eligible reporting week in October 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive reporting-week End Dates), then the market resolves to Yes. The European Commission's Beef Prices Data Explorer provides the weekly Price in EUR per 100 kg with these filters: Member State: European Union Category: Adult male indicative price Product: ACZ URO The all-weeks average and other cattle categories do NOT count. Source-reported prices are used without additional rounding. An eligible reporting week has its source End Date within the observation window, inclusive. A week ending after the quarter deadline does NOT count. The threshold is 110% of the fixed reference strike of 627.2596 EUR per 100 kg, calculated without intermediate rounding. A price exactly equal to the threshold qualifies. One qualifying weekly observation is sufficient even if later observations fall below the threshold. The COMMODITIES contract governs corrections within 24 hours, delayed or missing publications, early expiration, and contingencies. The latest scheduled expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 815.43748 by Dec 31? 30% or more above baseKalshi90% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 752.71152 by Dec 31? 20% or more above baseKalshi81% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 784.0745 by Dec 31? 25% or more above baseKalshi86% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 721.34854 by Dec 31? 15% or more above baseKalshi73% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 658.62258 by Dec 31? 5% or more above baseKalshi55% 5% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 777.801904 by Dec 31? 24% or more above baseKalshi85% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 771.529308 by Dec 31? 23% or more above baseKalshi84% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 765.256712 by Dec 31? 22% or more above baseKalshi82% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 746.438924 by Dec 31? 19% or more above baseKalshi79% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 758.984116 by Dec 31? 21% or more above baseKalshi81% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 740.166328 by Dec 31? 18% or more above baseKalshi79% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 715.075944 by Dec 31? 14% or more above baseKalshi74% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 708.803348 by Dec 31? 13% or more above baseKalshi71% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 727.621136 by Dec 31? 16% or more above baseKalshi77% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 733.893732 by Dec 31? 17% or more above baseKalshi77% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 702.530752 by Dec 31? 12% or more above baseKalshi69% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 696.258156 by Dec 31? 11% or more above baseKalshi64% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 677.440368 by Dec 31? 8% or more above baseKalshi56% 8% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 671.167772 by Dec 31? 7% or more above baseKalshi58% 7% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 683.712964 by Dec 31? 9% or more above baseKalshi53% NoOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 639.804792 by Dec 31? 2% or more above baseKalshi81% 2% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 652.349984 by Dec 31? 4% or more above baseKalshi70% 4% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 664.895176 by Dec 31? 6% or more above baseKalshi61% 6% or more above baseOpen
EU beef price by Dec 31, 2026?: EU beef price at least EUR 646.077388 by Dec 31? 3% or more above baseKalshi76% 3% or more above baseOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 11:41 AM UTC