KalshiOpen
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026? Above 5
No90%
Above 510%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$5.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesSep 29, 20269 hours ago
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
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As of Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC