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Will core CPI be above headline CPI in September (MoM)?: Will core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026? In September 2026

No57%
In September 202643%

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24h volume$1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread45%
ResolvesOct 14, 2026in 15 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 19Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If core CPI inflation MoM is above headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution. For purposes of this market, “core CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “Headline CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. The comparison will use the one-decimal values reported by BLS. If the values are equal, the market resolves No.

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As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC