KalshiDelisted

Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 3.6%

Above 3.6%96%

No4%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesDec 9, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the median projected appropriate level of the federal funds rate for year-end 2026, as shown in the Federal Reserve’s Summary of Economic Projections, is above 3.6% at the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting. If the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.1%	Kalshi	75% Above 4.1%	$200	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.5%	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.4%	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.6%	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.3%	Kalshi	80% No	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 3.9%	Kalshi	90% Above 3.9%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.0%	Kalshi	86% Above 4.0%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 4.2%	Kalshi	74% Above 4.2%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 3.7%	Kalshi	96% Above 3.7%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 3.8%	Kalshi	96% Above 3.8%	$0	—	—	Open
Fed median dot plot in December 2026: What will the median be in the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 dot plot? Above 3.5%	Kalshi	98% Above 3.5%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 02:11 PM UTC