KalshiOpen
Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026? Above 10
Above 1099%
No1%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$3.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 29, 20267 hours ago
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC