KalshiOpen

US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 0.0%?

Above 0.0%95%
No5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesFeb 4, 2033in 6 years

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2032 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2032 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2032,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 6.0%?Kalshi74% NoOpen
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 5.5%?Kalshi68% NoOpen
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 3.5%?Kalshi58% Above 3.5%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 4.0%?Kalshi52% Above 4.0%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 4.5%?Kalshi54% NoOpen
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 5.0%?Kalshi61% NoOpen
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 1.5%?Kalshi84% Above 1.5%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 3.0%?Kalshi65% Above 3.0%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 1.0%?Kalshi88% Above 1.0%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 2.0%?Kalshi78% Above 2.0%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 2.5%?Kalshi71% Above 2.5%Open
US nominal GDP growth in 2032: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2032 be above 0.5%?Kalshi92% Above 0.5%Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 05:09 PM UTC