KalshiOpen

Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order in Sep 2026? Yes

No60%

Yes40%

Price checked at Oct 1, 01:21 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$11

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread50%

ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a listed news source reports before Oct 1, 2026 that China or a Chinese airline announced a new Boeing aircraft order during September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A new order is a newly announced purchase or firm purchase commitment by the Chinese government, a Chinese government entity, or a Chinese airline. Repetition, allocation, formalization, or fulfillment of a previously announced order or commitment, including the May 2026 commitment for 200 Boeing aircraft, does not qualify. Predictions or negotiations alone do not qualify. Delivery, acceptance, payment, or other implementation is not required.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 01:35 PM UTC