KalshiOpen

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

No51%

Before Jun 30, 202749%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:57 PM UTC

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24h volume$200

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread9%

ResolvesDec 31, 2027next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Mar 31, 2027?	Kalshi	66% No	$241	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?	Kalshi	83% No	$200	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?	Kalshi	85% Before Dec 31, 2027	$0	—	—	Open
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?	Kalshi	73% Before Sep 30, 2027	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC