KalshiOpen

Will US housing starts for September 2026 be above 1.200M?

No53%
Above 1.200M47%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread10%
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 25 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 18Sep 21Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If US housing starts for September 2026 is above 1.200M, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for September 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the September 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the September 2026 Housing Starts value.

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As of Oct 2, 01:07 PM UTC