Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.350M?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the value of US building permits (total units) for September 2026 is above 1.350M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for September 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date. Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.550M? | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.400M? | Kalshi | 70% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.450M? | Kalshi | 61% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.500M? | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.250M? | Kalshi | 70% Above 1.250M | Open |
| Will US building permits for September 2026 be above 1.300M? | Kalshi | 88% Above 1.300M | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 11:13 PM UTC