PolymarketOpen

Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$169.7
7d volume$212.7
30d volume$266.2
Liquidity$293.8
Spread5%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Runway have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket61% YesOpen
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Pruna have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Lightricks have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC