PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Thelma & James win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No98%

Yes2%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:08 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume$184.6

Liquidity$259

Spread4%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed duo that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Duo of the Year. If a listed duo is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Duo of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning duo whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies nomination, tie-breaking, and fallback rules if no winner is declared; Kalshi publishes only the affirmative settlement condition. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying event.

Polymarketthis market
Will Thelma & James win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed duo that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Duo of the Year. If a listed duo is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Duo of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning duo whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
14 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 12:31 PM UTC
KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: Vocal Duo of the Year: Will Thelma & James win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Thelma & James wins Vocal Duo of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 10:25 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Brothers Osborne win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dan + Shay win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	70% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Muscadine Bloodline win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders14

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

Started-with-20-USD69138546106477004444681853173216651861165384550412183888332639155779370212307
0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296629170200390411877693390396796470185243023445845325811451388136329256123824237
macrosteaks29170200390411877693390396796470185243023445845325811451388136329256123824237
Pointed-Wilderness69138546106477004444681853173216651861165384550412183888332639155779370212307
shiifoo29170200390411877693390396796470185243023445845325811451388136329256123824237

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL1%$0.19 days ago
SELL2%$0.39 days ago
BUY91%$125.110 days ago
SELL3%$0.611 days ago
BUY51%$8.711 days ago
BUY51%$1.511 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 12:56 AM UTC