PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Lady A win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No99%

Yes1%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:46 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$401.6

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves around November 19, 2026 UTC and specifies tie, nomination, no-winner, and source rules; Kalshi resolves earlier on November 18 and publishes only the affirmative criterion shown here. These are resolution-rule and timing differences, not differences in the underlying question.

Polymarketthis market
Will Lady A win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed group that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year. If a listed group is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Vocal Group of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning group whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
14 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 10:04 AM UTC
KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: Vocal Group of the Year: Will Lady A win Vocal Group of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Lady A wins Vocal Group of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 08:04 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	80% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Little Big Town win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Midland win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders14

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296621818475141579231841089900663938576713300687891053019835421014242264471279848
2B9S94395083335043705536414503105296713968932982811160677344993215987445763729100
zhyfacai21818475141579231841089900663938576713300687891053019835421014242264471279848
Started-with-20-USD94395083335043705536414503105296713968932982811160677344993215987445763729100
Dr.PNL94395083335043705536414503105296713968932982811160677344993215987445763729100

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As of Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC