PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Oct 2, 09:06 AM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$761

Spread8%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement times and Polymarket specifies official CMA/credible-reporting sources plus nomination, tie, and no-winner rules; Kalshi provides only the basic winning condition. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.

KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: Musician of the Year: Will Jenee Fleenor win Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Jenee Fleenor wins Musician of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 30, 09:30 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed musician who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year. If a listed musician is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Musician of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning musician whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
16 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 2, 09:12 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Tom Bukovac (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	51% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Rob McNelley (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	61% No	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

Holders16

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 89% · best ask 97%

Top holders

macrosteaks30222240296344557891056990454627913634257623129547178196700361965625906565921
InterestingUser32358101190872380230510245704242295257259127184571624035785304966714008358556
shiifoo30222240296344557891056990454627913634257623129547178196700361965625906565921
AmericaFirst130222240296344557891056990454627913634257623129547178196700361965625906565921
Fihdrzgdd32358101190872380230510245704242295257259127184571624035785304966714008358556

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL94%$18.84 days ago
BUY89%$26.78 days ago
SELL12%$0.28 days ago
BUY20%$1.49 days ago
BUY20%$1.49 days ago
BUY20%$1.49 days ago

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As of Oct 2, 10:50 AM UTC