PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No51%

Yes50%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:36 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$668.4

Spread3%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves after the event and specifies official CMA sources, tie handling, and a December 31, 2026 fallback; Kalshi resolves earlier on November 18, 2026 and publishes only the basic win criterion. These are resolution-rule differences, not different questions.

KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: New Artist of the Year: Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Stephen Wilson Jr. wins New Artist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for New Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
17 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 01:00 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Avery Anna win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Carter Faith win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Emily Ann Roberts win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	65% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders17

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

InterestingUser39005867485233585777717226723199632933427969276045640259956714220252118216404
macrosteaks71510032323458852686615762084649602342103666906608324976758648605182369433064
0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296671510032323458852686615762084649602342103666906608324976758648605182369433064
Fihdrzgdd71510032323458852686615762084649602342103666906608324976758648605182369433064
cigarettes71510032323458852686615762084649602342103666906608324976758648605182369433064

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL50%$134 days ago
SELL50%$2.14 days ago
SELL52%$10.44 days ago
BUY56%$11.24 days ago
BUY43%$17.24 days ago
BUY43%$864 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC