PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:36 PM UTC

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24h volume$59.8

7d volume$129.9

30d volume$176.4

Liquidity$349.4

Spread0%

ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies tie-breaking, nomination, and no-winner contingencies and may resolve by December 31, 2026; Kalshi publishes only the core win condition and has an earlier listed resolution time.

Polymarketthis market
Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Female Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
10 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 12:56 PM UTC
KalshiOpen →
CMA Awards: Female Vocalist of the Year: Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?
If Kacey Musgraves wins Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	79% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Miranda Lambert win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Polymarket	86% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders10

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

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Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296666300637259009139613396832042322932569192461169633877033022245574295182359820
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.23406100800155958739402361972979347702368377281457495711462932115011008242626
dognamedreggi23406100800155958739402361972979347702368377281457495711462932115011008242626
Blue-Bend23406100800155958739402361972979347702368377281457495711462932115011008242626
Hugin-og-Munin23406100800155958739402361972979347702368377281457495711462932115011008242626

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As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC