Will Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” sell for at least $1.8m at auction?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in USD. If the final “Lot Sold” price is reported by Sotheby’s in a different currency, this market will resolve according to the USD value of the sale at the time of final sale. The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” sell for at least $2m at auction? | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Will Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” sell for at least $2.5m at auction? | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Will Helen Frankenthaler's “Return and Exit” sell for at least $3m at auction? | Polymarket | 52% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 12:14 PM UTC