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What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Oct 2026 press conference?

No89%
Tax11%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesNov 12, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Tax at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi84% AI / Artificial IntelligenceOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi61% PresidentOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi74% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi67% OilOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi90% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi96% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi88% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi94% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi74% RestrictiveOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi85% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Inflation Expectation at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi72% Inflation ExpectationOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Independent / Independence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi70% Independent / IndependenceOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi89% Good DayOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Family Fight / Family Feud at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi66% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Geopolitical at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi63% GeopoliticalOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi67% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi96% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi91% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi92% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi54% CreditOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi91% Central BankOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Commodity at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi52% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi94% NoOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi80% Balance SheetOpen
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?: Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Oct 2026 press conference?Kalshi65% Anchor / AnchoredOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:28 PM UTC