Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

No98%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani2%

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24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves around the Nobel announcement on October 9, 2026, while Polymarket specifies a later deadline and PredictFun publishes no settlement time. Polymarket and PredictFun also specify tie/joint-recipient and no-announcement handling; Kalshi does not publish equivalent criteria.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    186 holders · 213 comments · read Sep 24, 10:08 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

    If Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Sep 29, 07:39 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    read Sep 29, 07:19 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Donald TrumpKalshi99% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Mark CarneyKalshi93% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? International Court of Justice (ICJ)Kalshi93% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Vanessa NakateKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Sudan’s Emergency Response RoomsKalshi87% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Pope Leo XIVKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Reporters Without Borders (RSF)Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? European UnionKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Doctors Without BordersKalshi91% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Sara Al-SaqqaKalshi96% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)Kalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? UNRWAKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Committee to Protect JournalistsKalshi95% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Yulia NavalnayaKalshi93% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? International Criminal CourtKalshi96% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Save the ChildrenKalshi91% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Chow Hang-tungKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Narges MohammadiKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Mykola Kuleba / Save UkraineKalshi91% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Volodymyr ZelenskyyKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Elon MuskKalshi99% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Centre for Humanitarian DialogueKalshi97% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Matt MeyerKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Svalbard Global Seed VaultKalshi98% NoOpen
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? International Association of Judges (IAJ)Kalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:05 PM UTC