KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?

No58%

Nassau42%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC

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24h volume$97.1

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread27%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Nassau County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official results/credible reporting, specifies fusion-vote and tie rules, and allows resolution by March 31, 2027; Kalshi permits accelerated resolution after a media consensus projection. These are resolution-method differences, not differences in the event being measured.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
29 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 22, 05:21 AM UTC
Kalshithis market
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County?
If Kathy Hochul wins the 2026 New York Governor election in Nassau County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 29, 07:57 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Schenectady County?	Kalshi	96% Schenectady	$0	—	—	Open
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Saratoga County?	Kalshi	79% Saratoga	$0	—	—	Open
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Rensselaer County?	Kalshi	59% Rensselaer	$0	—	—	Open
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?: Will Kathy Hochul win Dutchess County?	Kalshi	87% Dutchess	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:11 PM UTC