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Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?: Will James Talarico win Bastrop County?

No63%
Bastrop37%

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24h volume$110
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate general election in Bastrop County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC