KalshiOpen
Next Fed rate hike?: Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026? Before 2027
Before 202786%
No14%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$1.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesDec 31, 2028in 2 years
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fed rate hike?: Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by June 30, 2027? Before July 2027 | Kalshi | 93% Before July 2027 | Open |
| Next Fed rate hike?: Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2027? Before 2028 | Kalshi | 97% Before 2028 | Open |
| Next Fed rate hike?: Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028? Before 2029 | Kalshi | 97% Before 2029 | Open |
| Next Fed rate hike?: Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by June 30, 2028? Before July 2028 | Kalshi | 94% Before July 2028 | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:18 PM UTC