Game Awards: Best Independent Game: Will Cairn win the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game?

No96%
Cairn4%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Cairn has won Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Game Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies official Game Awards sources, a December 31 fallback, and an alphabetical tie rule; Kalshi does not publish comparable detailed criteria. These differences do not materially change the underlying event being measured.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Cairn win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

    The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • Kalshithis market

    Game Awards: Best Independent Game: Will Cairn win the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game?

    If Cairn has won Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Game Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 06:42 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC