Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?

No93%
Yes8%

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24h volume$5.2K
7d volume$5.7K
30d volume$5.7K
Liquidity$277.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesSep 29, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 29, 2026 If North Macedonia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Sourcehttps://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket may keep the market open for a postponement and uses UEFA/backup statistical sources, while Kalshi specifies treatment for cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours and publishes no resolution source. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will North Macedonia win on 2026-09-29?

    In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 29, 2026 If North Macedonia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • KalshiOpen →

    North Macedonia wins

    If North Macedonia wins the Slovenia vs North Macedonia professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Slovenia vs North Macedonia professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 29, 08:26 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?Polymarket60% YesOpen
Will Slovenia vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?Polymarket68% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 08:33 PM UTC