Will Sean Parnell be the next confirmed Army Secretary?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Obadal be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will Marc Andersen be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will W. Jordan Gillis be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Charles Young III be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 67% No | Open |
| Will Brian Mast be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 09:07 PM UTC