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Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants? Yes

Yes63%

No37%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:54 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesJan 27, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Census Bureau announces its finalization of a rule excluding undocumented immigrants from the population used to apportion seats in the U.S. House of Representatives among the states before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Proposed rules and announcements of plans to issue a final rule do NOT qualify.

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As of Sep 29, 10:40 PM UTC