Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Verstappen

No50%
Yes50%

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ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 26Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This is a market on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Limitless and Polymarket resolve a canceled or post-October-3 race as “Other,” whereas Myriad resolves it as “No” (and specifies additional cancellation conditions). They otherwise use the FIA Final Classification, including applicable penalties, with no material difference to the ordinary race-winner question.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Verstappen

    This is a market on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

    2 holders · read Sep 26, 04:25 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

    This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

    19 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 20, 10:39 PM UTC

  • MyriadOpen →

    Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From market publication until September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** This market will resolve based on the official race results published by the FIA after the event concludes (note that this usually takes 30-60 minutes). Provisional race results will not be sufficient to resolve the market. ### **Resolution Details:** - Market resolves to "**Yes**" for the driver who is declared the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix winner, provided he is listed as an outcome in this market. - Market resolves to "**No**" for all other drivers. - Post-race penalties will be considered in the final resolution, provided they are part of the FIA Final Classification. Disqualifications or changes made after publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. - If the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is cancelled or rescheduled to a date after October 3, 2026, this market will resolve to "No" for all listed drivers. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - If the race is postponed indefinitely. - If no official result is declared. - If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

    read Sep 26, 11:37 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Kimi AntonelliLimitless50% NoOpen
Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Lando NorrisLimitless50% YesOpen
Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Lewis HamiltonLimitless50% YesOpen
Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner: George RussellLimitless50% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders2
Held value$90.6
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Trades1
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Top holders

  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28No$80.9
  • 0xD5b07F1F1E901fE923ffC5ee98CbAC6D8649D1DEYes$9.7

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Recent trades

  • —11%$1014 days ago

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As of Sep 30, 07:49 AM UTC